Thursday, 31 December 2015

Can Arsenal win the title?

Can Arsenal win the title?

No, they have no chance.

Arsenal always bottle it, and there's no reason to think otherwise now. Their recent performance against Southampton was disgraceful, they choked plain and simple. Nacho Monreal (his name sounds like Set Menu No. 2 at my local Mexican restaurant) was particularly poor and is clearly a weak link in the side. All of Arsenal's usual failings were on display, they looked small, slow and physically weak compared to Southampton's bigger, seemingly more athletic players. They missed chances (Giroud and Walcott are particularly bad at that) and they gave the ball away too often.

Another reason why they can't win the title is injuries. Arsenal's injury record has been so bad for so long now that there must be something Wenger is doing wrong, either with the training or match preparation. No team can be that unlucky. Tomas Rosicky has spent more time on the injury list than Gary Glitter has spent on the sex offender's list; Jack Wilshire isn't much better either. But the big ones are Sanchez, Cazorla and Coquilin; with them still injured for much longer Arsenal have no hope.


Yes, they can do

There is plenty of counter-evidence, however, that Arsenal can win the title. For starters they have Mezut Ozil. He may have the looks of someone who's just been punched repeatedly in the face by Brock Lesnar, but boy what a player. His recent performance against Bournemouth was absolutely exceptional and with 16 league assists already this season he is more than on course to be Thierry Henry's all-time Premier League record of 20. Ozil is a joy to watch and has a great chance of winning Player of the Year, especially if Arsenal do go on to win the Premier League title. 

The other reason that Arsenal have a great chance is that their rivals don't look up to much, quite frankly. Chelsea and Manchester United's problems are well documented and Manchester City have an oddly Arsenal-like injury list. City are also far too dependent on Kompany in defence and Aguero to score the goals, Arsenal however have far greater strength-in-depth and this may well count in their favour in the long run.

Can Arsenal do it? I think there are good arguments on both sides. It will be interesting to find out.

Thursday, 24 December 2015

On Klopp

We keep getting told by the London media that Jurgen Klopp is a breath of fresh air at Liverpool, that he is certain to be a vast improvement on Brendan Rogers, that has already improved Liverpool immensely and that Liverpool are certain to be challenging for honours very soon. A few weeks ago we were even being breathlessly told that Liverpool could challenge for the league title this season.

But is that all really true? One point in the last three games has certainly stalled Liverpool's progress and they are now ninth - they were tenth when Rogers was sacked. Moreover, Liverpool finished 6th and reached the semi-finals of the FA Cup last season. In order to be a 'vast improvement' on Rodgers, Klopp will have to achieve top four and win a trophy this season. It won't be easy.

Klopp had an excellent record at Dortmund (apart from a Mourinho-style meltdown in his last season which saw Dortmund in the relegation zone in the middle of the season). But the Premier League is far more competitive than the Bundesliga and Rodgers did a much better job than he gets credit for - I'm still not yet convinced that he is all he is hyped up to be. 


Lastly, I have composed some poems.


So Leicester City are at the top
For their next match they're going to the Kop
Will Liverpool put their run to a stop?
Or will Leicester make a fool out of Klopp?


On Monday the Arse beat City
For Pellegrini oh what a pity
Mezut Ozil played well again
Mezut Ozil, ten out of ten


There was once a coach called Ho-Zay
Whose team won the title last May
Now they're awful, the roster
From Cesc Fabregas to Costa 
And Ho-Zay's out on his arse, hooray!

Monday, 14 December 2015

Mourinho - the new dead man walking

Mourinho: a dead-man-walking


Chelsea were very poor against Leicester on Monday night. Mourinho obviously got his tactics totally wrong and there was a lack of desire to press properly in defence. It was all very odd because these are things Mourinho usually does so well.

Firstly the tactics, Diego Costa had a rotten game because Leicester (like every other team in the league) have learned to wind him up and get him frustrated. It's easy to do because he seemingly has the mental fortitude and patience of a ten-year-old. He couldn't hold the ball up and couldn't do anything really, so he needed help. But Mourinho didn't bring on Remy as a second striker until the 66th minute, he should have made the change much, much earlier. Chelsea also consistently failed to get the ball out wide and put crosses into the box for Mr. Sulky. When they did start making overlaps out wide and putting crosses in in the last twenty minutes they looked much more dangerous. But why didn't they do that before?

Even more worryingly for Chelsea is they often didn't put pressure on the ball properly letting Leicester play in front of them instead. The goals they conceded both came from the kind of shoddy, embarrassing defending you would expect from a bottom five team. Ivanovic in particular was awful, he kept dropping off Albrighton coming towards him and then getting caught out by the cross away and over his head. But it's not a big surprise because he's been awful all season. So why hasn't Mourinho just dropped him?

Ivanovic was as embarrassing as a premature ejaculation, but he wasn't the only culprit by far. My view is that some Chelsea players weren't playing for Mourinho. Too many of them were too slow to press the ball allowing Leicester players to pick out a pass, too many dropped off runners driving forward into the box. There's no other explanation for it.

Chelsea were absolutely abysmal, yet the world's most arrogant manager seemed clueless in what to do about it. That doesn't bode well for the future.

Ranieri is achieving redemption; if he can get Leicester City into the top four he will be the special one, but Mourinho is looking increasingly like a dead man walking. 

Tuesday, 8 December 2015

Villa

Aston Villa look very likely to go down this season. With only six points from fifteen games they are already seven points from safety, not good. Indeed, it could well end up being humiliating as Villa actually have fewer points than Derby County did at the same stage in 05/06 when they ended up with the lowest points total in Premier League history.

It would be fair to say that their fans are long-suffering and have had to put up with a relative lack of success for far too long. Villa are a big club with one of the largest catchment areas in Europe (the West Midland metropolitan area has 3.7 million people). They have seven league championships and a European Cup, all won in the pre- Premier League era, that was equal with Manchester United when the Premier League first started. So, what's gone wrong?

The club has been badly run for an awful long time. Both the previous owner, Doug Ellis and the current one, Randy Lerner, have failed to invest properly in the club. And managerial appointments have mostly been very poor, with the honorable exception of Martin O'Neill. O'Neill himself was very unlucky, Villa always seemed to come unstuck in the Spring while going for the Champions League places, and let's not forget the 2010 League Cup final against Manchester United and Phil Dowd's terrible decision not to send off Vidic for a clear professional foul within the first five minutes of the match. United eventually won 2-1 and O'Neill, such a talented manager, later resigned citing a lack of backing from Lerner in the transfer market. 

Fast forward to 2015 and Villa sold their two best players over the summer without being able to properly replace them. Again, a familiar pattern of bad luck and bad leadership emerges; They were incredibly unlucky to lose their two players in the same transfer window, any club would be severely knocked back by that, but they should never have been relying so heavily on them to begin with.

Villa fans deserve much better than what they've had to put up with recently. But maybe if relegation results in a change of owner it might not be such a bad thing?